← All games · August 31, 2026

Pregame preview

Monday, August 31, 2026 · 06:45 PM ET

Miami MarlinsProjected runs4.18
Projected WinnerWashington Nationals+0.02 WSH
Washington NationalsProjected runs4.19

Nationals Park

Miami Marlins

Team stats · entering today

OPIMiami Marlins offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.
SIMiami Marlins pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.10
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.3.99
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.-0.24
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs L (LHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs LHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.

Probable starter

RHP

Ryan Gusto

Miami Marlins

ERA3.92
WHIP1.32
BAA.258
IP64.1
SO54
BB18

Washington Nationals

Team stats · entering today

OPIWashington Nationals offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.
SIWashington Nationals pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.54
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.4.53
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.-0.64
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.

Probable starter

LHP

Will Dion

Washington Nationals

ERA3.50
WHIP1.11
BAA.226
IP36.0
SO41
BB10

Model factor edges

Platoon RPGLineup vs starter handEvenLineup vs starter hand
Lineup strengthTop-9 OPS vs opp handEvenTop-9 OPS vs opp hand
Statcast starterxwOBA / whiff EWMEvenxwOBA / whiff EWM
Bullpen fatigue3-day pen IP edgeEven3-day pen IP edge
Pen qualityImpact rate EWMEvenImpact rate EWM
Park factorNationals ParkEvenNationals Park
WeatherWeather unavailableEvenWeather unavailable
UmpireUmpire unavailableEvenUmpire unavailable

Lineups

OPS splits vs opposing starter · Miami Marlins vs Will Dion (LHP) · Washington Nationals vs Ryan Gusto (RHP)

Miami Marlins

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1Griffin Conine
2Heriberto Hernández
3Jakob Marsee
4Javier Sanoja
5Xavier Edwards
6Kyle Stowers
7Liam Hicks
8Joe Mack
9Otto Lopez

Washington Nationals

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1James Wood
2Luis García Jr.
3CJ Abrams
4Nasim Nuñez
5Jorbit Vivas
6Dylan Crews
7Curtis Mead
8Daylen Lile
9Drew Millas