RHP
Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies
ERA5.03
WHIP1.40
BAA.270
IP143.0
SO153
BB49
Pregame preview
Monday, August 31, 2026 · 09:40 PM ET
Philadelphia PhilliesProjected runs4.08
Projected Winner
Arizona Diamondbacks+0.02 ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks+0.02 ARIArizona DiamondbacksProjected runs4.10
Chase Field
Philadelphia Phillies
Team stats · entering today
OPIPhiladelphia Phillies offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.—
SIPhiladelphia Phillies pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.—
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.5.05
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.3.86
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.—
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.0.52
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.—
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.—
Probable starter
Arizona Diamondbacks
Team stats · entering today
OPIArizona Diamondbacks offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.—
SIArizona Diamondbacks pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.—
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.63
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.4.50
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.—
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.0.14
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.—
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.—
Probable starter
RHP
Brandon Pfaadt
Arizona Diamondbacks
ERA3.51
WHIP1.14
BAA.237
IP105.0
SO72
BB26
Model factor edges
Platoon RPGLineup vs starter handEvenLineup vs starter hand
Lineup strengthTop-9 OPS vs opp handEvenTop-9 OPS vs opp hand
Statcast starterxwOBA / whiff EWMEvenxwOBA / whiff EWM
Bullpen fatigue3-day pen IP edgeEven3-day pen IP edge
Pen qualityImpact rate EWMEvenImpact rate EWM
Park factorChase FieldEvenChase Field
WeatherWeather unavailableEvenWeather unavailable
UmpireUmpire unavailableEvenUmpire unavailable
Lineups
OPS splits vs opposing starter · Philadelphia Phillies vs Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) · Arizona Diamondbacks vs Aaron Nola (RHP)
Philadelphia Phillies
| Player | PA | OPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriel Rincones Jr. | — | — |
| 2 | Brandon Marsh | — | — |
| 3 | Bryce Harper | — | — |
| 4 | Alec Bohm | — | — |
| 5 | Bryson Stott | — | — |
| 6 | Kyle Schwarber | — | — |
| 7 | Rafael Marchán | — | — |
| 8 | Trea Turner | — | — |
| 9 | Derek Hill | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks
| Player | PA | OPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nolan Arenado | — | — |
| 2 | Ketel Marte | — | — |
| 3 | Ildemaro Vargas | — | — |
| 4 | Geraldo Perdomo | — | — |
| 5 | Gabriel Moreno | — | — |
| 6 | Corbin Carroll | — | — |
| 7 | Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | — | — |
| 8 | Tim Tawa | — | — |
| 9 | Ryan Waldschmidt | — | — |