← All games · October 16, 2026

Pregame preview

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 08:00 PM ET

Tampa Bay RaysProjected runs4.63
Projected WinnerTampa Bay Rays+0.17 TB
Cleveland GuardiansProjected runs4.46

Progressive Field

Tampa Bay Rays

Team stats · entering today

OPITampa Bay Rays offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.—
SITampa Bay Rays pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.—
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.79
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.3.52
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.—
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.0.19
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.—
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.—

Probable starter

RHP

Nick Martinez

Tampa Bay Rays

ERA3.10
WHIP1.09
BAA.249
IP180.0
SO109
BB26

Cleveland Guardians

Team stats · entering today

OPICleveland Guardians offense. Offensive Potency Index — rolling batting Impact per plate appearance before today.—
SICleveland Guardians pitching staff. Suppression Index — rolling opponent batting Impact allowed. Lower is better.—
RPGRolling runs scored per game before today.4.84
RA/GRolling runs allowed per game before today. Lower is better.3.97
Pen qualityRolling bullpen Impact rate — how effectively relievers limit damage per batter faced.—
FormRecent RPG vs season RPG — positive means the offense is running hotter than its baseline.0.68
Lineup OPSAverage OPS for the projected top nine vs R (RHP), minimum 20 PA in that split.—
Top-3 OPSAverage OPS vs RHP for batters projected 1–3 in the order.—

Probable starter

NAHP

Shawn Armstrong

Cleveland Guardians

ERA4.58
WHIP1.39
BAA.229
IP35.1
SO34
BB19

Model factor edges

Platoon RPGLineup vs starter handEvenLineup vs starter hand
Lineup strengthTop-9 OPS vs opp handEvenTop-9 OPS vs opp hand
Statcast starterxwOBA / whiff EWMEvenxwOBA / whiff EWM
Bullpen fatigue3-day pen IP edgeEven3-day pen IP edge
Pen qualityImpact rate EWMEvenImpact rate EWM
Park factorProgressive FieldEvenProgressive Field
WeatherWeather unavailableEvenWeather unavailable
UmpireUmpire unavailableEvenUmpire unavailable

Lineups

OPS splits vs opposing starter · Tampa Bay Rays vs Shawn Armstrong (RHP) · Cleveland Guardians vs Nick Martinez (RHP)

Tampa Bay Rays

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1Yandy Díaz——
2Richie Palacios——
3Chandler Simpson——
4Jonny DeLuca——
5Jonathan Aranda——
6Nick Fortes——
7Ben Williamson——
8Junior Caminero——
9Cedric Mullins——

Cleveland Guardians

PlayerPAOPSSeason OPS vs opposing starter hand.
1Chase DeLauter——
2Travis Bazzana——
3Brayan Rocchio——
4Kahlil Watson——
5Patrick Bailey——
6Petey Halpin——
7Gabriel Arias——
8Steven Kwan——
9Kyle Manzardo——